PolyBot

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Traders

austin63

0xdf3af8e8eb607bd17304d55e3e4a0b63e7bd0d78

Realised P&L
$-49.07
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$48.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 21? · No0.8890.874$24.87$0.43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? · Yes0.6400.730$23.60+$2.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:08Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$23.83
01-30 17:58Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9962289746$35.30
01-30 13:01Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?BUY0.99799998$24.33
01-30 12:20Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?BUY0.996$25.05
12-30 16:22Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.999$4.05
12-30 14:58Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$9.17
12-30 11:24Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?BUY0.9989999976$26.91
12-30 00:38Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?BUY0.998$48.42
12-29 22:14Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.999$22.00
10-30 19:55Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$29.67
10-30 18:36Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.9969999999$34.85
09-29 15:41Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9959999865$12.44
09-29 04:56Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?BUY0.9949999955$15.44
09-29 02:29Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?BUY0.9979999958$19.94
09-28 23:26Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9759999994$13.19