PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zkwall

0xdf2e31f96d992098a7ee31f7bf988bf3a513623f

Realised P&L
$9.77
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$604.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9470.992$595.65+$26.73
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.9000.935$3.89+$0.15
Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? · No0.8900.620$3.41$1.48
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9500.972$1.13+$0.03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00$2.66
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$11.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 14:51Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.9499996977$1.10
08-02 08:18Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.8999998556$3.74
07-25 14:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.75$1.92
07-12 10:24Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3849999616$2.66
07-10 19:33UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.9069999939$2.23
06-25 08:23Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?BUY0.8899999836$4.89
06-18 10:18o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.98$1.75
06-06 20:42Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?BUY0.8699999854$1.79
05-23 10:18Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?BUY0.8299999603$11.71
05-11 07:36Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?BUY0.9$9.36
05-05 07:52Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.7699999201$5.30
05-02 11:31Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?BUY0.97$4.00
04-30 07:34Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.984999999$4.70
04-28 07:46Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?BUY0.7799999126$1.22
04-13 08:08Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.9899998321$1.71