Emiko6
0xdf2c0f7505beb8f1b9b3762609778e8b937bf48e
- Realised P&L
- $-23.05
- Volume
- $574.18
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $3.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.013 | $3.95 | −$16.05 |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win the World Cup? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.65at 0.488Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$6.34at 0.184Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$5.45at 0.276Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
- +$5.23at 0.437Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 22:53 | Will Argentina win the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1869998684 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 22:52 | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2659999375 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 22:48 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 22:47 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 22:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 03:03 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5099999853 | $8.00 |
| 06-30 03:00 | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.61 |
| 06-30 02:53 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.04 |
| 06-30 02:53 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.04 |
| 06-30 02:52 | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8299999774 | $5.50 |
| 06-30 02:46 | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.34 |
| 06-30 02:42 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 02:34 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 02:34 | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 06-30 02:12 | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |