PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

A83

0xdf27ebc4a92d5db0f564fee893f5ce514ffd8489

Realised P&L
$-26.72
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$17.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.1000.053$17.58$15.59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22? · Down0.3300.000$0.00$3.30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? · Up0.2400.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$4.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00$0.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$4.50
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $305? · No0.0450.000$0.00$7.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-03 11:35Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSELL0.74$7.40
03-03 09:47Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSELL0.34$2.02
01-20 20:03Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $305?BUY0.0598802395$5.00
01-19 23:14Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.51$25.50
01-19 21:06S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?BUY0.2399999918$20.00
01-19 17:15Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.52$26.00
01-17 11:15US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?SELL0.975$9.02
01-13 20:01Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.9019999299$6.00
01-13 19:53US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?BUY0.5399999654$5.00
01-11 21:36Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.16$21.60
01-11 21:35Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.16$4.00
01-11 21:28Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.83$8.30
01-08 21:44Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?SELL0.2$1.00
01-02 18:17Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?BUY0.209999974$5.00