PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

damoneffertz

0xdf1b266f3690a94cb7186ff2420f362103876b33

Realised P&L
$-94.06
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$2.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? · Yes0.1700.100$2.52−$1.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 00:27Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.67$14.07
09-19 21:18Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?SELL0.39$8.19
09-18 15:29Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?SELL0.32$7.06
09-17 10:58Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.32$6.72
09-16 16:39Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?SELL0.75$15.75
09-13 09:06Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?SELL0.61$12.81
09-13 00:08Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027?SELL0.47$3.44
09-11 06:22Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 30% or more?SELL0.02$0.50
09-07 02:30Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election?SELL0.073$1.84
09-06 00:38Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?SELL0.32$8.06
09-03 12:00Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.25$5.25
09-02 00:39Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?SELL0.18$4.53
08-30 20:04Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.62$12.40
08-29 16:45Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.63$14.97
08-28 11:11Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?SELL0.65$13.65