damoneffertz
0xdf1b266f3690a94cb7186ff2420f362103876b33
- Realised P&L
- $-94.06
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.100 | $2.52 | −$1.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.10at 0.560Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
- +$5.76at 0.620Kraken vs. Red Wings
- +$5.25at 0.230Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- +$4.14at 0.270Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?
- +$3.93at 0.320Wake Forest vs. Virginia
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.67 | $14.07 |
| 09-19 21:18 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.19 |
| 09-18 15:29 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $7.06 |
| 09-17 10:58 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.72 |
| 09-16 16:39 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.75 |
| 09-13 09:06 | Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.81 |
| 09-13 00:08 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027? | SELL | 0.47 | $3.44 |
| 09-11 06:22 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.50 |
| 09-07 02:30 | Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election? | SELL | 0.073 | $1.84 |
| 09-06 00:38 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.06 |
| 09-03 12:00 | Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.25 |
| 09-02 00:39 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.53 |
| 08-30 20:04 | Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-29 16:45 | Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.63 | $14.97 |
| 08-28 11:11 | Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.65 |