0xdf1989b073ea7e3913d50f47696167b7b2bdd5f2
0xdf1989b073ea7e3913d50f47696167b7b2bdd5f2
- Realised P&L
- $-99.95
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $6.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.068 | $6.07 | +$3.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.73at 0.540Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$4.94at 0.480Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
- +$1.43at 0.580Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5
- +$1.30at 0.710Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?
- +$0.69at 0.858Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:32 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.033233191 | $2.99 |
| 06-15 04:08 | Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.6799999958 | $6.51 |
| 06-15 03:23 | UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.99 | $3.38 |
| 06-15 03:21 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SELL | 0.99 | $3.27 |
| 06-15 02:57 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.7899997457 | $2.61 |
| 06-15 02:56 | UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7799999648 | $2.66 |
| 06-15 02:49 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.36 |
| 06-15 02:20 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.60 |
| 06-15 02:09 | Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.66 |
| 06-15 01:51 | Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.6999999788 | $3.30 |
| 06-15 01:48 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $3.11 |
| 06-09 00:18 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1359999946 | $20.00 |
| 06-09 00:12 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1369999933 | $17.00 |
| 06-08 12:06 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.203 | $5.02 |
| 06-08 05:47 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |