PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MagnusFlensted

0xdf15e7bd9b948a9ba1ac5a3e257bd04dce1cc50f

Realised P&L
$-9.51
Volume
$156.73
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$64.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4900.345$14.08−$5.92
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7201.000$13.89+$3.89
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5110.431$12.65−$2.35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.6510.598$9.19−$0.81
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4740.403$8.49−$1.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.7520.945$6.28+$1.28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 21:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.830423685$15.00
10-24 21:15Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5109999902$15.00
10-15 23:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.7199999942$10.00
10-15 23:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.650999962$10.00
10-15 22:58Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4739999868$10.00
08-25 13:27Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?BUY0.4899999939$20.00
08-25 13:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.7524752311$5.00
08-20 07:42Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?BUY0.5459999749$2.00
08-19 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.99$1.00
08-19 15:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.8899999555$2.00
08-17 17:20Sion: Luca Wiedenmann vs Thiago CigarranSELL0.83$1.90
08-17 17:16Sion: Luca Wiedenmann vs Thiago CigarranBUY0.8699999913$2.00