PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HUGEL

0xdf121673d9641eaa63a626269d3a357486a912e7

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$31.4k
Markets traded
525
Open portfolio
$161.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded525
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? · Yes0.4980.934$157.83+$73.74
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14? · Yes0.0360.058$3.18+$1.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 06:38Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?SELL0.0073484438$0.11
10-13 06:03Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?SELL0.012$0.09
10-13 06:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?SELL0.025$0.50
10-13 05:14Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?BUY0.5295113689$64.09
10-13 05:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?SELL0.4217526427$1.99
10-13 05:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?SELL0.426$4.58
10-13 05:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?SELL0.426$2.67
10-13 05:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?SELL0.444$5.88
10-13 05:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?SELL0.4247988732$15.08
10-13 05:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?SELL0.4646422882$25.67
10-13 04:56Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?BUY0.0365262666$2.00
10-13 04:50Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?SELL0.02$0.97
10-13 04:49Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?BUY0.0427350427$1.00
10-13 04:49Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?BUY0.04$1.00
10-13 04:49Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?BUY0.4280130015$56.00