HUGEL
0xdf121673d9641eaa63a626269d3a357486a912e7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $31.4k
- Markets traded
- 525
- Open portfolio
- $161.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded525
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.934 | $157.83 | +$73.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.058 | $3.18 | +$1.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.28at 0.459Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?
- +$32.58at 0.842Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 29?
- +$28.87at 0.778Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?
- +$20.65at 0.920Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?
- +$19.17at 0.851Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.0073484438 | $0.11 |
| 10-13 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.09 |
| 10-13 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.50 |
| 10-13 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5295113689 | $64.09 |
| 10-13 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.4217526427 | $1.99 |
| 10-13 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.426 | $4.58 |
| 10-13 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.426 | $2.67 |
| 10-13 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.444 | $5.88 |
| 10-13 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.4247988732 | $15.08 |
| 10-13 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.4646422882 | $25.67 |
| 10-13 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.0365262666 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.97 |
| 10-13 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0427350427 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4280130015 | $56.00 |