0xdf0a2d22fdbe5baceabbef0bf2af4bb5bb857ce2
- Realised P&L
- $-34.32
- Volume
- $40.6k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $3.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.22at 0.045Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?
- +$11.23at 0.083Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?
- +$2.06at 0.059England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?
- +$2.03at 0.234Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25?
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 15:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.75 |
| 08-31 15:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 08:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 26? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.02 |
| 08-26 02:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 26? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.13 |
| 08-25 20:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 26? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.12 |
| 08-25 19:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.959999616 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 19:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 19:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 19:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 12:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25? | SELL | 0.983 | $1.01 |
| 08-25 07:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.32 |
| 08-25 05:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.18 |
| 08-24 22:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |