0xdf0a2d22fdbe5baceabbef0bf2af4bb5bb857ce2
0xdf0a2d22fdbe5baceabbef0bf2af4bb5bb857ce2
- Realised P&L
- $-79.31
- Volume
- $74.2k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $19.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.22at 0.045Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?
- +$11.23at 0.083Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?
- +$2.06at 0.059England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?
- +$2.03at 0.234Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25?
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:31 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:09 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:09 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:09 | Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:57 | Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:56 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:55 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 12:27 | Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 12:27 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |