0xDf048fA19bF9c848B34cC40Ff36cCfF6370C11e3-1756619397959
0xdf048fa19bf9c848b34cc40ff36ccff6370c11e3
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $787.5k
- Markets traded
- 527
- Open portfolio
- $67.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded527
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.035Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$1.1kat 0.094Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?
- +$1.1kat 0.071Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 11?
- +$757.80at 0.040Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 25?
- +$394.90at 0.069Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.054 | $54.00 |
| 09-18 13:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 09-18 07:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 19? | SELL | 0.43 | $18.49 |
| 09-18 07:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.08 |
| 09-18 07:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 24? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 09-18 02:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.43 |
| 09-18 02:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | BUY | 0.15 | $19.50 |
| 09-18 02:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? | SELL | 0.12 | $59.88 |
| 09-17 20:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 19? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.60 |
| 09-17 15:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.89 |
| 09-17 15:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.89 |
| 09-17 14:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0489999999 | $5.97 |
| 09-17 14:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0499498504 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 07:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17? | SELL | 0.009 | $39.72 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.79 |