ghjfjhgj
0xdf0216f60f3c691963b3cee4de94abe5b10eaaef
- Realised P&L
- $8.31
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $14.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $14.64 | −$0.24 |
| Will Neftçi PFK win on 2026-07-22? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.40 |
| Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.26 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · Natus Vincere | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.46at 0.500Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
- +$369.52at 0.500Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?
- +$253.44at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
- +$124.50at 0.500Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$22.10at 0.500Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:19 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $28.96 |
| 09-23 03:18 | Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.31 | $14.88 |
| 09-23 03:18 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 09-23 03:17 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 09-18 03:10 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.6 | $20.40 |
| 09-03 09:23 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $13.26 |
| 08-13 06:56 | Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B | BUY | 0.64 | $23.04 |
| 08-06 11:30 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.55 | $15.40 |
| 07-22 06:47 | Will Neftçi PFK win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.5 | $14.00 |
| 07-06 06:09 | Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-06 06:09 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 07-06 05:57 | Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $37.92 |
| 06-15 03:37 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BUY | 0.65 | $17.94 |
| 06-06 06:28 | Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 06-06 05:54 | Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | BUY | 0.7 | $23.94 |