e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0
0xdefebc7ed6f5d6e8710398f37eea6fc1746a17f4
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $10.91M
- Markets traded
- 1,780
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,780
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 24? · No | 0.855 | 0.979 | $2.8k | +$353.81 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24? · Up | 0.414 | 0.499 | $992.51 | +$170.08 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? · Up | 0.406 | 0.500 | $862.95 | +$161.33 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 24? · Yes | 0.853 | 0.955 | $453.39 | +$47.99 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24? · Down | 0.527 | 0.500 | $435.19 | −$22.96 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? · Down | 0.613 | 0.490 | $275.66 | −$69.38 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 24? · No | 0.167 | 0.045 | $19.16 | −$50.99 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.43 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? · Up | 0.533 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$905.44 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 16? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.3kat 0.467S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
- +$20.9kat 0.682S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?
- +$15.7kat 0.585S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?
- +$15.3kat 0.754S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
- +$15.3kat 0.753SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:43 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 09-24 09:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.1428 | $71.40 |
| 09-24 09:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.158367 | $79.18 |
| 09-23 20:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.52 | $88.40 |
| 09-23 20:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.52 | $260.00 |
| 09-23 11:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.42 | $0.73 |
| 09-22 20:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.1000163934 | $61.01 |
| 09-22 16:19 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 22? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 09-22 16:17 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 22? | BUY | 0.87 | $130.50 |
| 09-22 16:17 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 22? | BUY | 0.86 | $129.00 |
| 09-22 13:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 09-22 09:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.44 | $13.64 |
| 09-22 09:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.36 | $22.32 |
| 09-22 09:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 09-22 09:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.57 | $0.54 |