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Traders

e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0

0xdefebc7ed6f5d6e8710398f37eea6fc1746a17f4

Realised P&L
$73.2k
Volume
$9.53M
Markets traded
1,608
Open portfolio
$22.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,608
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.9050.998$9.6k+$894.93
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4? · Yes0.7940.972$4.6k+$850.91
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.7701.000$4.1k+$943.90
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 4? · Yes0.8470.982$2.4k+$335.65
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 4? · Yes0.8010.985$1.6k+$293.41
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 4? · Yes0.9400.985$196.90+$8.90
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4? · No0.0430.028$5.07$2.82
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 4? · No0.8140.018$1.27$56.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$2.45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26? · Up0.4770.000$0.00$22.9k
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16? · Up0.3110.000$0.00$5.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$2.45
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 29? · Yes0.5250.000$0.00$260.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:00S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?BUY0.892$28.79
08-04 19:00S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.108$0.64
08-04 19:00S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?BUY0.891818$89.18
08-04 18:51S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.129$1.53
08-04 17:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?BUY0.833$66.63
08-04 17:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.167$8.35
08-04 17:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.167$8.35
08-04 17:47S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.1676$8.38
08-04 17:39S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.258$11.86
08-04 17:39S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.258$12.90
08-04 17:38S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.258$12.90
08-04 17:38S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.258$12.90
08-04 17:35S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.306$15.30
08-04 17:35S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.307$3.96
08-04 17:32S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?SELL0.327$1.96
Trader e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 · PolyBot