Matysek
0xdefad2199cc8c04e69cc6798ee05bf2e94b3e9e3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.33
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 387
- Open portfolio
- $15.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded387
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mitchell Marner record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.690 | $15.09 | +$8.09 |
| Pistons vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.86 |
| Stars vs. Wild · Wild | 0.547 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
| Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia · Czechia | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.62 |
| Wild vs. Kings · Wild | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Capitals vs. Oilers · Capitals | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs · G2 | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.50 |
| Knicks vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.213 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.05 |
| Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · EYEBALLERS | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Knicks vs. Warriors · Knicks | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Lightning vs. Stars · Stars | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.59 |
| Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Hurkacz (+1.5) · Bublik | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A · Natus Vincere | 0.302 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.70 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B · Team Falcons | 0.378 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Wild vs. Canadiens · Wild | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.49at 0.181Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino
- +$125.35at 0.164Bruins vs. Blue Jackets
- +$121.44at 0.438Rockets vs. Thunder
- +$103.60at 0.141Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$83.00at 0.170Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublik
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:54 | Will Mitchell Marner record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.32 | $7.00 |
| 07-23 14:52 | Livesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Sara Bejlek | BUY | 0.7879999775 | $3.79 |
| 05-09 22:30 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya | SELL | 0.999 | $8.16 |
| 05-06 08:58 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Lois Boisson | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 04-23 11:21 | Cavaliers vs. Raptors | SELL | 0.41 | $4.03 |
| 04-23 11:21 | Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.80 |
| 04-23 11:21 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | SELL | 0.55 | $5.42 |
| 04-22 06:50 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.55 | $5.35 |
| 04-22 06:50 | Cavaliers vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.42 | $4.05 |
| 04-22 06:50 | Stars vs. Wild | BUY | 0.54 | $7.88 |
| 04-22 06:48 | Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.055 | $6.60 |
| 03-29 14:32 | Bruins vs. Blue Jackets | BUY | 0.4 | $12.00 |
| 03-29 14:31 | Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinner | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 03-29 14:19 | Will "Banana" be said 10+ times at the Rotterdam Grand Final? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.59 |
| 03-29 14:17 | Will "Heaven" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.52 |