Brooklyn4695
0xdef8a23d53e6224ce90a9c2ace585dd0c2928615
- Realised P&L
- $-28.97
- Volume
- $33.9k
- Markets traded
- 359
- Open portfolio
- $24.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded359
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $8.10 | −$0.00 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $5.71 | +$0.01 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $4.51 | +$0.01 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $2.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $2.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.70 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.01at 0.500Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
- +$1.53at 0.610Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
- +$0.83at 0.003Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$0.66at 0.996Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?
- +$0.31at 0.994Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 12:18 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.70 |
| 09-04 18:47 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.20 |
| 08-31 01:34 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.20 |
| 08-24 17:45 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.50 |
| 08-08 00:13 | Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.10 |
| 08-05 17:15 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.70 |
| 07-22 05:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.9986290074 | $21.40 |
| 07-21 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.998 | $15.20 |
| 07-21 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22? | BUY | 0.998999964 | $27.00 |
| 07-21 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.9979999946 | $15.20 |
| 07-21 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 22? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.97 |
| 07-21 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.22 |
| 07-21 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.38 |
| 07-21 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.30 |
| 07-20 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.00 |