ArkChamberDJ
0xdef717bee83d59d1ec1910d6269eed4c062cc08e
- Realised P&L
- $57.34
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $114.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.710 | $35.50 | −$4.00 |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.695 | $34.75 | −$0.25 |
| Rams vs. Raiders · Rams | 0.740 | 0.665 | $26.60 | −$3.00 |
| Panthers vs. Packers · Panthers | 0.620 | 0.380 | $11.40 | −$7.20 |
| Panthers vs. Packers · Packers | 0.370 | 0.620 | $6.20 | +$2.50 |
| Packers vs. Vikings · Packers | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bills vs. Texans · Texans | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.90at 0.370Ravens vs. Steelers
- +$17.78at 0.360Lions vs. Bears
- +$15.31at 0.617Panthers vs. Eagles
- +$13.26at 0.430Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?
- +$11.60at 0.420Buccaneers vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 13:31 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-18 13:28 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 10-18 13:27 | Panthers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.61 | $24.40 |
| 10-18 13:24 | Panthers vs. Packers | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 10-18 13:24 | Rams vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.74 | $13.32 |
| 09-13 14:33 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-13 14:33 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-13 14:32 | Saints vs. Lions | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 02-15 04:36 | Will Canada record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.084615377 | $10.00 |
| 01-31 19:25 | Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 03:18 | Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 01-27 21:18 | Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 01-25 14:52 | Rams vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 01-25 14:52 | Patriots vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 01-17 15:02 | Texans vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.63 | $11.34 |