PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xdef6f1590f7fb46f0f99f2a0cee73efcfef16b0d

0xdef6f1590f7fb46f0f99f2a0cee73efcfef16b0d

Realised P&L
$2.79
Volume
$197.96
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$12.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 24? · Yes0.9880.984$3.98−$0.02
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? · Up0.8300.905$2.19+$0.18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 18? · No0.9980.952$1.91−$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10PM ET · Up0.7701.000$1.30+$0.30
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 18? · No0.9600.935$0.97−$0.03
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18? · No0.9850.952$0.97−$0.03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22? · No0.4600.440$0.96−$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? · No0.6600.440$0.67−$0.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9PM ET · Down0.0030.000$0.00−$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 04:30Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18?BUY0.985$1.00
10-18 04:27Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 18?BUY0.96$1.00
10-18 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
10-18 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
10-18 04:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 24?BUY0.987999996$1.00
10-18 04:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-18 04:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-18 04:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-18 04:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.649999805$1.00
10-18 04:05Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 18?BUY0.998$1.00
10-18 04:05Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 18?BUY0.998$1.00
10-18 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-18 02:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10PM ETBUY0.77$1.00
10-18 02:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.8799997184$1.00
10-18 02:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.8799999648$1.00