ClaudeDev04
0xdef5fd2afd25d93a0ec861c8c6eb77b7572e8855
- Realised P&L
- $91.57
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $14.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.855 | $4.28 | +$1.82 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.620 | 0.620 | $3.10 | +$0.00 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.420 | 0.415 | $2.08 | −$0.03 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.420 | 0.390 | $1.95 | −$0.15 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.320 | 0.315 | $1.57 | −$0.03 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.500 | 0.145 | $0.72 | −$1.77 |
| Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 0 Everton FC? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.060 | $0.30 | +$0.00 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.92 |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.28at 0.268Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$81.86at 0.371Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$56.57at 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$48.04at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$34.42at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:54 | Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 1 Valencia CF? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 22:38 | Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matej Dodig | SELL | 0.999 | $44.95 |
| 09-11 08:15 | Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas | BUY | 0.3 | $4.80 |
| 09-11 06:32 | Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu | BUY | 0.27 | $4.86 |
| 09-09 09:23 | Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies | SELL | 0.59 | $5.64 |
| 09-09 09:23 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals | SELL | 0.48 | $7.30 |
| 09-09 09:23 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | SELL | 0.53 | $9.54 |
| 09-08 20:18 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.54 | $4.86 |
| 09-08 20:18 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.54 | $4.86 |
| 09-08 20:18 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.53 | $4.77 |
| 09-08 18:32 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.47 | $2.44 |
| 09-08 18:32 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 09-08 17:01 | Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 09-08 17:01 | Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.59 | $4.72 |
| 09-08 17:01 | Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.59 | $0.92 |