PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdef1f6172f3897db9ed00f2959618282672de893

0xdef1f6172f3897db9ed00f2959618282672de893

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$58.0k
Markets traded
2,549
Open portfolio
$34.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,549
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Packers (-1.5) · Packers0.4700.695$4.33+$1.40
Cowboys vs. Packers · Packers0.5100.705$4.06+$1.12
Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.2701.000$3.56+$2.60
Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-18? · No0.2950.455$2.96+$1.04
Will CD Marquense win on 2026-10-18? · No0.3300.325$2.84−$0.04
Guangzhou: Omar Jasika vs Koki Matsuda · Koki Matsuda0.2000.195$2.80−$0.07
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-18? · No0.4100.385$2.72−$0.18
Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-18? · No0.5200.435$2.43−$0.48
Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez · Leylah Fernandez0.4500.445$1.91−$0.02
Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova · Kamilla Rakhimova0.2900.285$1.89−$0.03
Lisbon: Andrej Martin vs Alexander Ritschard · Andrej Martin0.2200.215$1.87−$0.04
Hurricanes vs. Flames · Flames0.3500.320$1.76−$0.16
Will CSD Suchitepéquez win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.1200.115$0.96−$0.04
Will Seattle Reign FC win on 2026-10-18? · No0.2500.001$0.01−$3.82
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.2600.001$0.00−$1.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 01:07Lisbon: Andrej Martin vs Alexander RitschardBUY0.2199999793$1.91
10-19 01:06Guangzhou: Omar Jasika vs Koki MatsudaBUY0.2$2.87
10-19 01:06Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-18?SELL0.44$2.86
10-19 00:33Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.4499999883$1.93
10-19 00:33Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie BouzkovaBUY0.2899999849$1.92
10-19 00:09Hurricanes vs. FlamesBUY0.3499999544$1.92
10-18 23:37Will CSD Suchitepéquez win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-18 23:36Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.2899999849$1.92
10-18 23:01Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.5199999857$2.91
10-18 23:01Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.3$1.92
10-18 23:00Will CD Marquense win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.3299999897$2.88
10-18 22:37Will Seattle Reign FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.25$3.83
10-18 22:37Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-10-18?SELL0.45$1.60
10-18 22:36Bills vs. RaidersSELL0.83$3.00
10-18 22:07Cardinals vs. RamsSELL0.49$1.89