0xdef1f6172f3897db9ed00f2959618282672de893
0xdef1f6172f3897db9ed00f2959618282672de893
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $58.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,549
- Open portfolio
- $34.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,549
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-1.5) · Packers | 0.470 | 0.695 | $4.33 | +$1.40 |
| Cowboys vs. Packers · Packers | 0.510 | 0.705 | $4.06 | +$1.12 |
| Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.270 | 1.000 | $3.56 | +$2.60 |
| Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.295 | 0.455 | $2.96 | +$1.04 |
| Will CD Marquense win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.330 | 0.325 | $2.84 | −$0.04 |
| Guangzhou: Omar Jasika vs Koki Matsuda · Koki Matsuda | 0.200 | 0.195 | $2.80 | −$0.07 |
| Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.410 | 0.385 | $2.72 | −$0.18 |
| Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.520 | 0.435 | $2.43 | −$0.48 |
| Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez · Leylah Fernandez | 0.450 | 0.445 | $1.91 | −$0.02 |
| Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova · Kamilla Rakhimova | 0.290 | 0.285 | $1.89 | −$0.03 |
| Lisbon: Andrej Martin vs Alexander Ritschard · Andrej Martin | 0.220 | 0.215 | $1.87 | −$0.04 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flames · Flames | 0.350 | 0.320 | $1.76 | −$0.16 |
| Will CSD Suchitepéquez win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Seattle Reign FC win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.250 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.82 |
| Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.30at 0.429Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
- +$229.53at 0.201Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)
- +$179.01at 0.494ITF Tokyo: Shintaro Imai vs Naoki Nakagawa
- +$126.37at 0.248Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5
- +$96.88at 0.126Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 0 - 0 Racing Club?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 01:07 | Lisbon: Andrej Martin vs Alexander Ritschard | BUY | 0.2199999793 | $1.91 |
| 10-19 01:06 | Guangzhou: Omar Jasika vs Koki Matsuda | BUY | 0.2 | $2.87 |
| 10-19 01:06 | Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.86 |
| 10-19 00:33 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.4499999883 | $1.93 |
| 10-19 00:33 | Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova | BUY | 0.2899999849 | $1.92 |
| 10-19 00:09 | Hurricanes vs. Flames | BUY | 0.3499999544 | $1.92 |
| 10-18 23:37 | Will CSD Suchitepéquez win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:36 | Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.2899999849 | $1.92 |
| 10-18 23:01 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.5199999857 | $2.91 |
| 10-18 23:01 | Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.92 |
| 10-18 23:00 | Will CD Marquense win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3299999897 | $2.88 |
| 10-18 22:37 | Will Seattle Reign FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.83 |
| 10-18 22:37 | Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.60 |
| 10-18 22:36 | Bills vs. Raiders | SELL | 0.83 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 22:07 | Cardinals vs. Rams | SELL | 0.49 | $1.89 |