0xdEf18D0C3DD66903BA5DB4617681Ba81F1B03783-1772557285439
0xdef18d0c3dd66903ba5db4617681ba81f1b03783
- Realised P&L
- $183.40
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 523
- Open portfolio
- $216.36
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded523
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.01at 0.479Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$11.74at 0.630Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$8.66at 0.698Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$8.16at 0.698US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$6.65at 0.560Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 20:36 | Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.10 |
| 05-08 13:42 | Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.992 | $5.22 |
| 05-08 13:42 | Cerebras IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.27 |
| 05-08 13:42 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.996 | $141.34 |
| 04-28 02:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.75 |
| 04-27 18:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.83 |
| 04-27 09:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27? | BUY | 0.808 | $4.85 |
| 04-27 05:36 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.61 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 02:29 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 15:28 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.94 |
| 04-26 14:54 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.03 |
| 04-26 11:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.74 |
| 04-26 02:43 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 04-25 10:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 26? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 04-25 09:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25? | BUY | 0.66 | $4.61 |