PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdEf18D0C3DD66903BA5DB4617681Ba81F1B03783-1772557285439

0xdef18d0c3dd66903ba5db4617681ba81f1b03783

Realised P&L
$183.40
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
523
Open portfolio
$216.36

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded523
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-03 20:36Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?SELL0.99$5.10
05-08 13:42Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?SELL0.992$5.22
05-08 13:42Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL0.995$5.27
05-08 13:42Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.996$141.34
04-28 02:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?BUY0.75$4.75
04-27 18:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?BUY0.75$4.83
04-27 09:51Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27?BUY0.808$4.85
04-27 05:36Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.61$5.00
04-27 02:29Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$5.00
04-26 15:28Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?BUY0.64$4.94
04-26 14:54Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.63$5.03
04-26 11:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?BUY0.64$4.74
04-26 02:43Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?BUY0.55$2.75
04-25 10:15Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 26?BUY0.67$4.69
04-25 09:44Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25?BUY0.66$4.61