0x37tfgrdw24j
0xdeee80d315539bafa2146b99f51f51bc3eb37c09
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $180.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,331
- Open portfolio
- $701.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,331
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.177Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?
- +$175.02at 0.959Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17?
- +$140.12at 0.119Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?
- +$138.01at 0.241Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 9?
- +$109.35at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 03:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 2°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9758730159 | $61.48 |
| 09-24 23:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 09-24 23:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 09-24 23:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 09-24 23:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 09-24 22:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 09-24 22:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 09-24 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 18:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 18:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-24 14:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 14:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.88 |
| 09-24 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |