0x37tfgrdw24j
0xdeee80d315539bafa2146b99f51f51bc3eb37c09
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $161.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,852
- Open portfolio
- $55.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,852
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.169Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?
- +$183.93at 0.957Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17?
- +$140.50at 0.116Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?
- +$138.01at 0.241Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 9?
- +$109.35at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.35 |
| 08-09 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.76 |
| 08-09 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.42 |
| 08-08 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.89 |
| 08-08 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.13 |
| 08-08 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.56 |
| 08-08 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0986842105 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.90 |
| 08-08 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-08 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2868 | $7.17 |
| 08-08 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0077790147 | $6.44 |
| 08-08 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0097674107 | $7.66 |
| 08-08 10:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-08 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |