oppsniper
0xdeedf9d404cf389d4afb1e1fb5d6ab0d6062b85d
- Realised P&L
- $-680.01
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $488.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.056 | $488.07 | +$287.48 |
| Over $15M committed to the VOOI public sale? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.00 |
| Over $25M committed to the VOOI public sale? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.65 |
| Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$230.00 |
| Over $40M committed to the VOOI public sale? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Over $20M committed to the VOOI public sale? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$434.16 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.33at 0.088Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$53.00at 0.300Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 14:03 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.72 |
| 07-02 14:00 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.016 | $52.69 |
| 07-02 13:58 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.016 | $16.00 |
| 07-02 13:58 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.016 | $16.00 |
| 06-08 06:17 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0682182195 | $50.00 |
| 06-03 02:08 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0208462354 | $46.34 |
| 11-27 02:04 | Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899057226 | $80.00 |
| 11-27 02:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 11-26 01:45 | Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 11-26 01:45 | Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 11-24 14:26 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.161258 | $161.26 |
| 11-24 11:33 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0874740286 | $61.23 |
| 11-20 09:01 | Over $25M committed to the VOOI public sale? | BUY | 0.56 | $39.76 |
| 11-20 09:00 | Over $25M committed to the VOOI public sale? | BUY | 0.55 | $79.20 |
| 11-20 08:59 | Over $25M committed to the VOOI public sale? | BUY | 0.54 | $36.10 |