TheAmazingSentinel
0xdee1f0555ced33cc9e17ca12b02fb744902a11d3
- Realised P&L
- $75.90
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $392.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.115 | $183.06 | −$116.93 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.095 | $105.62 | +$5.62 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.453 | 0.470 | $103.86 | +$3.86 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q4 2025 · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$397.60at 0.205UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$281.66at 0.268Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$61.29at 0.620Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?
- +$28.21at 0.780Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$16.88at 0.640US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:30 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.0894724522 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 02:28 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-08 04:50 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4525497124 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 19:18 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0812887149 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 19:18 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5801199762 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 20:15 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.240621535 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3867950153 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-09 20:10 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 01-14 21:19 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 01-09 11:19 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $100.00 |
| 12-03 08:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 11-26 18:32 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 21:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 21:56 | Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q4 2025 | BUY | 0.2195608767 | $100.00 |