vinunited
0xdede1facff5967eb57a1636bf674f2bf215a8a50
- Realised P&L
- $-286.84
- Volume
- $358.8k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $208.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.425 | $106.38 | +$7.63 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.133 | $43.73 | +$17.00 |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.675 | $33.75 | +$4.75 |
| Will a transfer restriction on Manchester City be applied by the 2027 summer transfer window? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.455 | $17.62 | −$1.74 |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.420 | 0.335 | $6.70 | −$1.70 |
| Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.52 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.63 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.58at 0.977Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee
- +$131.16at 0.978Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$115.28at 0.057Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$99.24at 0.843Will Folarin Balogun join Everton?
- +$79.06at 0.975US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 10:00 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.395 | $98.75 |
| 09-17 13:38 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.977 | $142.15 |
| 09-08 18:39 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 09-01 23:38 | Will Folarin Balogun join Everton? | BUY | 0.9356668 | $467.83 |
| 09-01 23:38 | Will Folarin Balogun join Everton? | BUY | 0.0647138338 | $4.50 |
| 08-31 16:07 | Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.65 |
| 08-31 16:07 | Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? | BUY | 0.9899732858 | $1.1k |
| 08-31 15:57 | Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool? | BUY | 0.99 | $122.89 |
| 08-31 11:39 | Will Bruno Fernandes join Al-Hilal? | BUY | 0.999 | $131.45 |
| 08-31 11:37 | Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? | BUY | 0.9980859105 | $694.86 |
| 08-31 11:36 | Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? | BUY | 0.9947692308 | $129.32 |
| 08-31 11:36 | Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? | BUY | 0.971 | $155.35 |
| 08-25 14:01 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.93 | $0.45 |
| 08-02 07:43 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.01 | $152.30 |
| 07-20 13:53 | Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee | BUY | 0.9759470051 | $8.3k |