0xdEDa96a3C167fc304f0E03984afc9022E9d810cc-1773429526697
0xdeda96a3c167fc304f0e03984afc9022e9d810cc
- Realised P&L
- $-194.77
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 758
- Open portfolio
- $0.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded758
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.21at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?
- +$16.51at 0.349Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$13.77at 0.295Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?
- +$12.05at 0.182Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 27?
- +$11.83at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.9832843137 | $2.01 |
| 09-17 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.02 |
| 09-17 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.20 |
| 09-16 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |