MrCrem
0xdecddcc0fbfa475120709511374900bbea0566b1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.95
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $10.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Derek Lunsford win Mr. Olympia 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.580 | $6.82 | +$4.82 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.165 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.165 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.130 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.007 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on September 25? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.004 | $0.23 | −$0.78 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.046 | 0.009 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.58at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$6.63at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$-4.26at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$-12.83at 0.003Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 11:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0061858221 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.009740829 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0087463557 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 06:48 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:48 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:56 | Will Derek Lunsford win Mr. Olympia 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 11:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:28 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:04 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | BUY | 0.0016666667 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:59 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |