0xdeca00668f8f521962c9bb2a52703c47e1adbabb
0xdeca00668f8f521962c9bb2a52703c47e1adbabb
- Realised P&L
- $-150.98
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $54.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.66at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$8.73at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$8.73at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$7.93at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$7.93at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1579999805 | $1.02 |
| 10-08 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-08 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1799999811 | $1.14 |
| 10-08 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3399999883 | $1.75 |
| 10-08 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-08 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2099999695 | $1.10 |
| 10-08 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-08 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999561 | $2.15 |
| 10-08 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1299999942 | $1.12 |
| 10-07 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.5601723365 | $2.85 |
| 10-07 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.1582672665 | $1.08 |
| 10-07 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-07 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.4399999452 | $2.25 |
| 10-07 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $1.50 |