0xDEC593B4a4FCFac94C2F9e0dA0ea6C361df88aeD-1770841596522
0xdec593b4a4fcfac94c2f9e0da0ea6c361df88aed
- Realised P&L
- $-9.02
- Volume
- $434.63
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $4.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.018 | $4.20 | −$55.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.48at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$3.12at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$2.55at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$0.31at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$0.14at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 15:03 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $60.00 |
| 02-24 11:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $2.92 |
| 02-24 11:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5190049743 | $2.93 |
| 02-24 11:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $1.15 |
| 02-24 11:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $0.97 |
| 02-15 00:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.83 |
| 02-15 00:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $1.27 |
| 02-15 00:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.85 |
| 02-15 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.79 |
| 02-14 23:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 02-14 22:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $3.03 |
| 02-14 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $3.62 |
| 02-14 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $6.57 |
| 02-14 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $4.66 |
| 02-14 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $3.25 |