Mostradamus
0xdec347d9a95f1cd3671f127bbb489e3bb43eebc5
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $263.6k
- Markets traded
- 404
- Open portfolio
- $34.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded404
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$375.75at 0.290US military action against Iran before July?
- +$69.09at 0.154Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 4?
- +$60.32at 0.106Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$57.85at 0.124Will Flamengo beat Chelsea?
- +$48.55at 0.110Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:15 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.58 |
| 10-05 20:15 | Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 10-05 19:15 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 19:06 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 18:59 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 15:26 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 13:59 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.0136352567 | $1.29 |
| 10-05 13:50 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 13:47 | Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0380608021 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 13:47 | Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0368901595 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 13:33 | Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 13:29 | Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |