PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mostradamus

0xdec347d9a95f1cd3671f127bbb489e3bb43eebc5

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$263.6k
Markets traded
404
Open portfolio
$34.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded404
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5? · Yes0.0820.235$11.47+$7.47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.1330.135$10.13+$0.13
Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.1970.185$5.65−$0.35
Will England vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes0.1100.085$4.64−$1.36
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0370.032$2.55−$0.45
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.0720.000$0.00−$7.00
BLAST Bounty: Liquid vs. FURIA · FURIA0.0180.000$0.00−$32.10
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6AM ET · Up0.0790.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.1070.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Netherlands vs. Serbia end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will CF Monterrey win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$128.98
Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$3.00
Mallorca vs. Getafe: O/U 1.5 · Over0.5730.000$0.00−$18.00
Will River Plate win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:15Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw?SELL0.54$5.58
10-05 20:15Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?SELL0.32$4.80
10-05 19:15Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.0599999988$2.00
10-05 19:06Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.15$3.00
10-05 18:59Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.25$4.00
10-05 15:26Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.16$5.00
10-05 13:59Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.0136352567$1.29
10-05 13:50Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.0389999995$2.00
10-05 13:47Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.0380608021$2.00
10-05 13:47Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.0368901595$5.00
10-05 13:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSELL0.17$4.00
10-05 13:33Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.025$2.00
10-05 13:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-05 13:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-05 13:29Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.01$1.00