0xdec326efACE4cB079170418Eb97891424A7B9F41-1783247410890
0xdec326eface4cb079170418eb97891424a7b9f41
- Realised P&L
- $51.11
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $572.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.875 | $572.06 | +$36.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.29at 0.582Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.10at 0.827Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$34.94at 0.746Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$25.66at 0.127Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.63at 0.858Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 02:59 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $410.02 |
| 07-20 00:45 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 07-20 00:43 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 07-13 12:43 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9412319574 | $111.00 |
| 07-13 12:41 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-13 12:41 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 12:40 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 12:40 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 09:00 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.05 |
| 07-13 08:52 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $74.22 |
| 07-13 08:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.174 | $103.57 |
| 07-12 09:00 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | SELL | 0.999 | $190.53 |
| 07-11 06:02 | Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.9299999996 | $66.50 |
| 07-10 10:34 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.9437910005 | $180.00 |
| 07-08 01:52 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8199999869 | $6.24 |