mtrnr
0xdebcdd6847d4483d2b216c70bff221ca66ed88b9
- Realised P&L
- $17.77
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $83.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.40at 0.120Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$61.20at 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$61.00at 0.050Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$34.00at 0.150Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$10.94at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 12:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | SELL | 0.9909999991 | $19.82 |
| 03-01 11:58 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 03-01 11:58 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 03-01 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $2.84 |
| 03-01 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | SELL | 0.9909999998 | $98.73 |
| 03-01 10:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $85.38 |
| 03-01 10:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $3.22 |
| 03-01 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $5.73 |
| 03-01 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.59 |
| 03-01 09:33 | Will Hillary's remarks not air? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 03-01 09:32 | Will Hillary's remarks not air? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.24 |
| 02-17 21:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.89 |
| 02-17 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $5.53 |
| 02-17 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $4.17 |
| 02-17 21:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $2.07 |