PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mtrnr

0xdebcdd6847d4483d2b216c70bff221ca66ed88b9

Realised P&L
$17.77
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$83.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0500.360$36.05+$31.05
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.8500.875$17.50+$0.50
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3900.185$9.25$10.25
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0800.125$7.50+$2.70
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1420.055$4.40$7.00
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.2000.195$3.90$0.10
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.2500.205$2.05$0.45
Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0400.038$1.93$0.07
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0600.033$0.65$0.55
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.1200.063$0.63$0.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down0.4360.000$0.00$4.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.4150.000$0.00$4.11
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00$16.50
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$5.92
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$6.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 12:01Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSELL0.9909999991$19.82
03-01 11:58Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.4$4.00
03-01 11:58Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.38$3.80
03-01 11:07Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.29$2.84
03-01 10:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSELL0.9909999998$98.73
03-01 10:09Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.86$85.38
03-01 10:08Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.33$3.22
03-01 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.59$5.73
03-01 09:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.16$1.59
03-01 09:33Will Hillary's remarks not air?BUY0.04$4.00
03-01 09:32Will Hillary's remarks not air?BUY0.039$0.24
02-17 21:36Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSELL0.99$9.89
02-17 21:28Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.57$5.53
02-17 21:20Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.43$4.17
02-17 21:17Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.21$2.07