0xdeb61be3c865bb0c4ac1c78e3c2c73a676107f5a
0xdeb61be3c865bb0c4ac1c78e3c2c73a676107f5a
- Realised P&L
- $-20.10
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $8.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.400 | $2.63 | +$1.63 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.080 | $2.58 | +$1.58 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.180 | $2.28 | +$1.28 |
| Will Delta Air Lines say "Trump" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.080 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in New York? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.026 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$2.24at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$1.18at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$1.13at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$1.04at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:36 | Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game? | SELL | 0.0105 | $0.19 |
| 10-08 20:32 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.0489999982 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:31 | Will Delta Air Lines say "Trump" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:29 | Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game? | BUY | 0.0549999975 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:39 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:38 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999991 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:37 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1519999854 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 05:46 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 05:38 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 20:44 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:29 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:18 | Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:41 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.02419139 | $1.89 |
| 10-06 14:27 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.202 | $2.22 |