toxicforu
0xdeb6129cc97df5a941724c47766d36cd5b7a933f
- Realised P&L
- $-50.09
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.17at 0.142Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
- +$4.78at 0.510Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
- +$3.55at 0.290Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$-0.50at 0.002Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.280Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:45 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.88 |
| 01-29 05:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.6199999941 | $21.17 |
| 01-28 09:53 | Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6199999024 | $6.10 |
| 01-28 09:49 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 09:47 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $9.10 |
| 01-28 09:46 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.1709810387 | $10.37 |
| 01-28 09:45 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $14.75 |
| 01-28 09:42 | LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 01-28 09:40 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | BUY | 0.0879999226 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 09:38 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $9.47 |
| 01-28 09:38 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 01-28 09:36 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 09:35 | Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 09:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.27 |
| 01-28 09:29 | Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |