PolyBot

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Traders

0xdeb5436bba9420e9056b6eb87926f705315fe19c

0xdeb5436bba9420e9056b6eb87926f705315fe19c

Realised P&L
$-291.98
Volume
$183.8k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$243.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes0.2420.327$194.15+$50.35
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 25? · Yes0.0880.125$35.09+$10.48
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25? · Yes0.0760.025$7.99−$16.46
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25? · Yes0.0490.007$2.69−$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.0040.003$2.60−$1.29
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0430.001$0.49−$41.61
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0060.001$0.43−$4.63
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0340.001$0.03−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$2.91
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? · Yes0.3740.000$0.00−$101.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 12? · No0.0420.000$0.00−$42.47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on May 9? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$19.49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$27.93
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on April 6? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$23.09
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or higher on March 20? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$63.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 22:59Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.07$0.35
09-24 22:58Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.1079278906$2.60
09-24 22:57Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.0950147638$1.93
09-24 22:56Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.0044853759$3.88
09-24 22:56Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.058682709$2.37
09-24 22:55Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.0712527909$2.87
09-24 22:55Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.0769230769$2.00
09-24 22:55Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.078$3.95
09-24 22:54Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.0275$0.55
09-24 22:54Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.1175259772$2.38
09-24 22:53Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.0630927835$6.12
09-24 22:53Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.1085585586$3.86
09-24 22:52Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.0309271523$4.67
09-24 22:52Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.1006706142$7.31
09-24 22:51Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.0458565737$5.75