0xdeb5436bba9420e9056b6eb87926f705315fe19c
0xdeb5436bba9420e9056b6eb87926f705315fe19c
- Realised P&L
- $-291.98
- Volume
- $183.8k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $243.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.064Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$1.1kat 0.015Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
- +$795.78at 0.086Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$686.88at 0.177Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- +$406.81at 0.153Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 09-24 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1079278906 | $2.60 |
| 09-24 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0950147638 | $1.93 |
| 09-24 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0044853759 | $3.88 |
| 09-24 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.058682709 | $2.37 |
| 09-24 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0712527909 | $2.87 |
| 09-24 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0769230769 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.078 | $3.95 |
| 09-24 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0275 | $0.55 |
| 09-24 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1175259772 | $2.38 |
| 09-24 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0630927835 | $6.12 |
| 09-24 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1085585586 | $3.86 |
| 09-24 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0309271523 | $4.67 |
| 09-24 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1006706142 | $7.31 |
| 09-24 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0458565737 | $5.75 |