venezuelain
0xdeb264d4ee0fcb83d86d0eb242cca86d4a5b9aa8
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $4.35M
- Markets traded
- 2,638
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,638
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.27at 0.559Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$228.35at 0.975IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$131.83at 0.987Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
- +$114.71at 0.976Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
- +$105.00at 0.740Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-30 04:06 | Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $184.81 |
| 09-29 16:02 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9988157146 | $470.72 |
| 09-28 18:40 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9957412342 | $312.38 |
| 09-28 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.99 |
| 09-25 20:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-25 17:32 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $379.87 |
| 09-25 17:32 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $457.94 |
| 09-25 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-25 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-24 15:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $749.25 |
| 09-24 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $272.73 |
| 09-24 12:25 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $899.10 |
| 09-24 12:23 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |