betwett-monthly
0xdeae1a3235f7d07199f66762f97dfb3c0a31058d
- Realised P&L
- $-697.60
- Volume
- $62.4k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11? · No | 0.860 | 0.835 | $835.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11? · No | 0.770 | 0.815 | $815.00 | +$45.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$386.35at 0.809Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
- +$326.41at 0.783Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?
- +$300.63at 0.950Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
- +$200.26at 0.769Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$126.79at 0.642Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-23 13:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 09-23 12:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 04-06 13:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.68 |
| 04-06 13:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.31 |
| 04-06 13:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.32 |
| 04-06 13:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.56 |
| 04-06 13:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.85 |
| 04-06 13:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.30 |
| 04-06 13:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.77 |
| 04-06 13:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.94 |
| 04-06 13:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.32 |
| 04-06 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.47 |
| 04-06 13:18 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.82 |
| 04-06 13:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.37 |