pm-bot-zero
0xdea6ccaf4100a1841564759eb3e226bd1b677157
- Realised P&L
- $-25.59
- Volume
- $667.55
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$9.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 4? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.70at 0.845Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?
- +$2.11at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 15?
- +$0.81at 0.849Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$0.75at 0.859Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$0.11at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0591395199 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.0533333333 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.8799999296 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 05:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.60 |
| 08-16 05:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999851 | $4.50 |
| 08-16 05:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999906 | $4.50 |
| 08-16 04:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999485 | $3.50 |