PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PmDerek

0xdea27e7f906b5c25be5e06e5d81fe725b927a81e

Realised P&L
$245.25
Volume
$13.03M
Markets traded
1,043
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,043
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? · Yes0.9800.993$2.5k+$31.62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? · No0.9970.997$2.0k+$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? · Yes0.9970.998$1.3k+$0.68
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4? · Yes0.9980.999$998.50+$0.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 4? · No0.9890.997$997.00+$8.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4? · No0.9991.000$770.61+$0.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4? · No0.9991.000$83.96+$0.04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$22.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4?BUY0.998$998.00
08-02 16:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?BUY0.993$496.50
08-02 16:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?BUY0.997$677.96
08-01 16:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?BUY0.998$1.5k
08-01 16:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4?BUY0.999$770.23
08-01 16:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4?BUY0.999$83.92
08-01 16:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?BUY0.981$1.7k
08-01 16:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?BUY0.998$597.69
08-01 14:03Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1?BUY0.999$3.5k
08-01 14:01Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1?SELL0.999$3.5k
08-01 12:04Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1?BUY0.999$1.1k
08-01 11:52Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 1?SELL0.999$1.1k
08-01 08:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1?BUY0.997$627.11
08-01 08:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?BUY0.999$628.37
08-01 05:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?BUY0.995$305.46