PmDerek
0xdea27e7f906b5c25be5e06e5d81fe725b927a81e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $13.79M
- Markets traded
- 1,397
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,397
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $3.0k | +$8.80 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.997 | $2.5k | −$5.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.985 | $1.6k | −$16.83 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 28? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $676.45 | +$0.34 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 20? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.06 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 21? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.43 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.93 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on September 9? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.14at 0.908Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 25?
- +$218.41at 0.868Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 18?
- +$205.48at 0.958Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?
- +$196.95at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 24?
- +$180.04at 0.936Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.985 | $533.87 |
| 09-27 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 09-27 16:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.994 | $563.60 |
| 09-27 16:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.7k |
| 09-27 16:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $676.11 |
| 09-27 16:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.3k |
| 09-27 16:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9954878517 | $1.6k |
| 09-27 16:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.3k |
| 09-27 12:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.7k |
| 09-27 12:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.7k |
| 09-27 12:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.4k |
| 09-27 12:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.2k |
| 09-27 10:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | SELL | 0.9965976953 | $3.6k |
| 09-27 09:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.8k |
| 09-27 09:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.8k |