PmDerek
0xdea27e7f906b5c25be5e06e5d81fe725b927a81e
- Realised P&L
- $245.25
- Volume
- $13.03M
- Markets traded
- 1,043
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,043
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.993 | $2.5k | +$31.62 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $2.0k | +$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.998 | $1.3k | +$0.68 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.999 | $998.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 4? · No | 0.989 | 0.997 | $997.00 | +$8.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $770.61 | +$0.39 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $83.96 | +$0.04 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.14at 0.908Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 25?
- +$219.75at 0.956Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?
- +$218.41at 0.868Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 18?
- +$196.95at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 24?
- +$180.04at 0.937Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 08-02 16:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.993 | $496.50 |
| 08-02 16:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $677.96 |
| 08-01 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 16:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $770.23 |
| 08-01 16:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.92 |
| 08-01 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.981 | $1.7k |
| 08-01 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $597.69 |
| 08-01 14:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.5k |
| 08-01 14:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.5k |
| 08-01 12:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 11:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 08:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $627.11 |
| 08-01 08:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $628.37 |
| 08-01 05:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $305.46 |