PolyBot

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Traders

PrometheusCapital

0xde9fa78f2cf767624ffffcd6bc0c505593073ab2

Realised P&L
$-9.28
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$104.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 22:16Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2$12.00
10-26 14:36Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.064$6.50
10-04 09:31Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.6099999961$50.00
09-28 15:34Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.58$29.00
09-13 16:28Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.17$5.10
07-01 21:16Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.8399999996$90.00
06-30 22:33Spread: France (-2.5)SELL0.86$24.34
06-30 22:30Spread: France (-2.5)BUY0.5299999982$15.00
06-21 16:37Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.9489999999$200.00
06-15 23:46Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?SELL0.94$47.00
06-15 20:56Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?SELL0.87$62.14
06-15 20:42Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.5599999972$40.00
06-15 17:53Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?SELL0.797$22.59
06-15 17:22Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?BUY0.2469999819$7.00
06-15 17:22Spread: Spain (-4.5)SELL0.001$0.05