PrometheusCapital
0xde9fa78f2cf767624ffffcd6bc0c505593073ab2
- Realised P&L
- $-9.28
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $104.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.820 | $41.00 | +$12.00 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.600 | 0.680 | $22.44 | +$2.64 |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.180 | $21.60 | +$1.20 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.390 | $19.50 | −$8.00 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.48at 0.480Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
- +$37.20at 0.370Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$32.30at 0.320Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?
- +$28.07at 0.645Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$26.92at 0.400Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:16 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2 | $12.00 |
| 10-26 14:36 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.064 | $6.50 |
| 10-04 09:31 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 15:34 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 09-13 16:28 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 07-01 21:16 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.8399999996 | $90.00 |
| 06-30 22:33 | Spread: France (-2.5) | SELL | 0.86 | $24.34 |
| 06-30 22:30 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $15.00 |
| 06-21 16:37 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9489999999 | $200.00 |
| 06-15 23:46 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 06-15 20:56 | Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.87 | $62.14 |
| 06-15 20:42 | Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5599999972 | $40.00 |
| 06-15 17:53 | Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | SELL | 0.797 | $22.59 |
| 06-15 17:22 | Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2469999819 | $7.00 |
| 06-15 17:22 | Spread: Spain (-4.5) | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |