0xde9CAcc2cC9822DDaa3E8dDA96Ff497084c4E014-1764493822210
0xde9cacc2cc9822ddaa3e8dda96ff497084c4e014
- Realised P&L
- $327.10
- Volume
- $129.5k
- Markets traded
- 568
- Open portfolio
- $0.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded568
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$309.14at 0.377Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 19?
- +$287.81at 0.201Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 2?
- +$213.38at 0.440Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
- +$192.79at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?
- +$187.81at 0.473Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 05:19 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.09 |
| 10-08 05:17 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-08 05:03 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3866666667 | $5.80 |
| 10-06 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.0192553408 | $0.19 |
| 10-06 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.0204166667 | $0.49 |
| 10-06 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.1635294118 | $2.72 |
| 10-06 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.92 |
| 10-06 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.39 |
| 10-06 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.40 |
| 10-06 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 10-06 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.16 |
| 10-06 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.90 |
| 10-06 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.76 |
| 10-06 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.33 |
| 10-06 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |