0xde9CAcc2cC9822DDaa3E8dDA96Ff497084c4E014-1764493822210
0xde9cacc2cc9822ddaa3e8dda96ff497084c4e014
- Realised P&L
- $822.28
- Volume
- $121.2k
- Markets traded
- 519
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded519
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$316.57at 0.363Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 19?
- +$291.08at 0.194Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 2?
- +$213.38at 0.440Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
- +$194.03at 0.337Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?
- +$192.17at 0.464Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 05:50 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.05 |
| 08-09 05:05 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.05 |
| 08-07 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.87 | $37.41 |
| 08-07 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.86 | $24.08 |
| 08-06 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.93 |
| 08-06 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 08-06 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-06 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-06 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-06 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5436363636 | $17.94 |
| 08-06 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4338461538 | $5.64 |
| 08-06 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0839628105 | $5.51 |
| 08-06 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0674185221 | $2.09 |
| 08-05 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.1175 | $4.70 |
| 08-04 05:26 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0102 | $0.51 |