PolyBot

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Traders

dumawlf

0xde9652b806cb8d4e608b09ca43503edffac46c61

Realised P&L
$80.61
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$70.87

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6500.670$24.74+$0.74
Will McCormick (MKC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8300.620$17.92−$6.07
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6500.585$17.49−$1.94
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6600.295$10.73−$13.27
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$17.34
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$17.33
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$9.17
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$24.00
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$9.10
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$9.42
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$13.88
Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$7.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 20:00Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.66$22.53
09-18 03:57Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6$28.31
08-31 18:42Will Trump say "Egg" this week?SELL0.73$9.04
08-31 18:42Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?SELL0.51$8.05
08-31 18:42Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL0.9525$14.33
08-31 18:27Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.89$39.16
08-28 22:12Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?BUY0.58$9.16
08-28 00:02Will Trump say "Egg" this week?BUY0.74$9.17
08-27 03:22Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?BUY0.49$9.10
08-25 16:57Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?BUY0.35$9.17
08-22 19:52Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?BUY0.34$9.42
08-21 14:32Will Docusign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.74$32.00
08-21 13:22Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.47$7.01
08-21 07:47Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?BUY0.64$7.00
08-20 16:32Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?BUY0.78$6.63