0xde91F979C4D97ed823cEbDdAE1916C123b16F20A-1759423953928
0xde91f979c4d97ed823cebddae1916c123b16f20a
- Realised P&L
- $-18.9k
- Volume
- $820.2k
- Markets traded
- 561
- Open portfolio
- $315.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded561
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.315 | $315.00 | −$235.00 |
| Spread: Ole Miss (-12.5) · South Carolina | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$490.00 |
| Spread: South Florida (-5.5) · South Florida | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Spread: Southern Miss (-13.5) · UL Monroe | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$490.00 |
| Bayern München vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$540.00 |
| Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5 · Under | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$615.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$630.00 |
| Nets vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.77 |
| SK Brann vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.20 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) · Grizzlies | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristian · Cristian | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.21 |
| Newcastle vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.469 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Hornets vs. Heat: O/U 236.5 · Under | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.79 |
| Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$462.91 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Varvara Gracheva · Gracheva | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.331Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jiri Lehecka
- +$2.0kat 0.508Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5
- +$1.8kat 0.407Spread: Magic (-4.5)
- +$1.6kat 0.470Spread: Heat (-5.5)
- +$1.5kat 0.190Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Belinda Bencic vs Cristina Bucsa
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-11 05:34 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 02-11 05:34 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9100156144 | $874.21 |
| 02-07 02:58 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.0k |
| 01-06 01:08 | Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $980.00 |
| 01-06 01:07 | Warriors vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.58 | $870.00 |
| 01-06 01:07 | Spread: 76ers (-9.5) | BUY | 0.33 | $220.82 |
| 01-06 01:06 | Spread: Rockets (-8.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $765.00 |
| 01-06 01:06 | Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $529.85 |
| 01-05 03:59 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $83.10 |
| 01-05 00:01 | Maduro mugshot released by Monday? | BUY | 0.74 | $41.17 |
| 01-05 00:01 | Maduro mugshot released by Monday? | BUY | 0.74 | $280.56 |
| 01-04 04:32 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 01-04 04:24 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.964 | $382.25 |
| 01-04 04:13 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.965 | $386.00 |
| 01-04 03:58 | Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) | BUY | 0.78 | $561.37 |