Ptonem
0xde8768e8dda4d184e1e16f776ba57d62e13e001e
- Realised P&L
- $-93.82
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $312.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12? · No | 0.445 | 0.585 | $163.17 | +$39.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.395 | $82.95 | +$9.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.103 | $53.81 | +$12.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.019 | $8.85 | −$3.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.023 | $3.39 | −$0.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$9.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.52at 0.307Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?
- +$5.64at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 11?
- +$3.99at 0.798Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 10?
- +$3.44at 0.482Honor of Kings: Talent Gaming vs LGD NBW (BO5) - King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage
- +$-0.85at 0.378Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.03825 | $0.77 |
| 10-12 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0359996666 | $1.08 |
| 10-12 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0342727273 | $0.94 |
| 10-12 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.02875 | $1.15 |
| 10-12 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0325714286 | $1.14 |
| 10-12 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.032 | $0.96 |
| 10-12 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0340407221 | $2.43 |
| 10-12 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0895 | $4.47 |
| 10-12 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0221174 | $2.21 |
| 10-12 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0847488 | $4.24 |
| 10-12 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.08775 | $1.75 |
| 10-12 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.08925 | $1.78 |
| 10-12 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0823 | $4.12 |
| 10-12 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0140082 | $1.40 |
| 10-12 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0808326109 | $2.42 |