spnir
0xde8255bfde4de8ceefc7658462234da51ef8705d
- Realised P&L
- $-23.9k
- Volume
- $3.41M
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · BoomBoys | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.310France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$6.0kat 0.480Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-10?
- +$5.9kat 0.404Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs B8 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
- +$5.6kat 0.690LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
- +$5.0kat 0.500Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 07:06 | Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-23 13:28 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.28 | $107.05 |
| 08-26 20:41 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.002 | $8.90 |
| 08-22 15:02 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.99 | $26.22 |
| 08-21 13:25 | LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.35 | $603.07 |
| 08-21 12:44 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | SELL | 0.999 | $443.92 |
| 08-21 06:32 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.46 | $120.42 |
| 08-20 06:27 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-20 06:20 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 08-20 06:11 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-19 20:23 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | SELL | 0.41 | $6.15 |
| 08-19 15:23 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.33 | $57.75 |
| 08-19 13:00 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | SELL | 0.999 | $2.2k |
| 08-16 11:52 | Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $10.0k |
| 08-16 04:33 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.3 | $15.00 |