0xDe78E330492b3a5e52155504bb966428b8f8a67A-1781365478194
0xde78e330492b3a5e52155504bb966428b8f8a67a
- Realised P&L
- $-410.28
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $14.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.160 | $14.56 | −$8.24 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up | 0.502 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.67 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up | 0.817 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Down | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.25at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$45.02at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$42.17at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$39.81at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$33.44at 0.363Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 07:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $14.51 |
| 08-02 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3101376236 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 07:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2641509105 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3710937325 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.873205669 | $51.75 |
| 08-02 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $8.48 |
| 08-02 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3405861625 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3487931616 | $10.00 |