PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xde76851773cac610873d87a8a801ce67a35b215d

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$976.3k
Markets traded
2,615
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,615
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0071.000$685.64+$680.84
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0101.000$500.00+$495.00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.6201.000$321.99+$122.36
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.0071.000$217.48+$215.96
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%? · Yes0.0271.000$124.19+$120.84
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.0181.000$120.57+$118.40
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.0251.000$98.11+$95.66
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? · No0.0111.000$57.95+$57.31
Will the Patek Index hit $103,000 (LOW) by April 30? · Yes0.0311.000$50.00+$48.45
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? · Yes0.0221.000$42.53+$41.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.4901.000$23.12+$11.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down0.6301.000$23.00+$8.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.6801.000$22.00+$7.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.6501.000$21.45+$7.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.7001.000$21.00+$6.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-20 11:34Will Sylbourne Sydial win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?BUY0.003$0.06
04-20 11:34Lee vs. Lepchenko: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5BUY0.009$0.86
04-20 11:34Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.001$0.03
04-20 09:31Will Brett Lindstrom be the Republican nominee for NE-02?BUY0.009$0.25
04-20 07:27Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on April 21?BUY0.002$2.58
04-20 07:27Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 20?BUY0.001$0.34
04-20 07:27Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.025$0.74
04-20 07:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 25?BUY0.021$4.29
04-20 07:27Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 23?BUY0.036$4.28
04-20 07:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of April 20 2026?BUY0.029$0.53
04-20 07:27Mena vs. Aboian: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.003$0.11
04-20 07:27Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?BUY0.036$0.94
04-20 07:27Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.031$0.19
04-20 07:27Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 21?BUY0.007$0.73
04-20 07:27Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?BUY0.007$0.14