PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDE6Fc1fE389A347189d8Ad205AA7f82a24aE6917-1771338848795

0xde6fc1fe389a347189d8ad205aa7f82a24ae6917

Realised P&L
$120.49
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$72.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4130.525$63.52+$13.52
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.090$9.00$21.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$35.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$40.00
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$35.00
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$15.00
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$34.00
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$80.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-25 07:06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1069999978$40.00
03-25 07:06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1549999968$40.00
03-11 09:00SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$30.00
03-11 09:00SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?BUY0.08$15.00
03-11 08:56Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.4132597313$50.00
02-27 13:06US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY0.2699999957$32.88
02-27 13:06US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2$5.00
02-27 13:06US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
02-21 15:03US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY0.0124903245$50.00
02-17 17:58US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY0.067464244$30.00
02-17 17:57US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.0439837374$35.00
02-17 17:55US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?BUY0.0229999994$35.00
02-17 17:51US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?BUY0.0149999996$34.00