0xDE6Fc1fE389A347189d8Ad205AA7f82a24aE6917-1771338848795
0xde6fc1fe389a347189d8ad205aa7f82a24ae6917
- Realised P&L
- $120.49
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $72.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.525 | $63.52 | +$13.52 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.090 | $9.00 | −$21.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.06at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$88.90at 0.270US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$60.00at 0.200US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 07:06 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1069999978 | $40.00 |
| 03-25 07:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1549999968 | $40.00 |
| 03-11 09:00 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 03-11 09:00 | SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 03-11 08:56 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4132597313 | $50.00 |
| 02-27 13:06 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999957 | $32.88 |
| 02-27 13:06 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 02-27 13:06 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 15:03 | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0124903245 | $50.00 |
| 02-17 17:58 | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.067464244 | $30.00 |
| 02-17 17:57 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0439837374 | $35.00 |
| 02-17 17:55 | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.0229999994 | $35.00 |
| 02-17 17:51 | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999996 | $34.00 |