0x8A160
0xde6e66428241027be8762c0733ff8f13f6e9da84
- Realised P&L
- $11.8k
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 5,117
- Open portfolio
- $225.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,117
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 30°C or higher on September 19? · No | 0.980 | 0.994 | $99.40 | +$1.40 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $89.50 | +$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on September 20? · No | 0.985 | 0.997 | $26.91 | +$0.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $4.99 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $4.98 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on September 6? · No | 0.989 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.011XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.730UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$878.80at 0.537Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$838.50at 0.783France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$609.23at 0.576Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 03:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on September 19? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.96 |
| 09-19 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 09-19 03:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 09-19 03:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-19 03:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $77.93 |
| 09-18 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.989 | $69.23 |
| 09-18 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or below on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 16:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 16:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 16:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C or higher on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 16:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 16:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |