PolyBot

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Traders

0x8A160

0xde6e66428241027be8762c0733ff8f13f6e9da84

Realised P&L
$11.8k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
5,117
Open portfolio
$225.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,117
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 03:17Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on September 19?SELL0.998$8.96
09-19 03:17Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.999$69.93
09-19 03:12Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on September 19?SELL0.999$13.00
09-19 03:12Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on September 19?SELL0.999$99.90
09-19 03:07Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on September 19?SELL0.999$77.93
09-18 23:52Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.989$69.23
09-18 18:37Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 20?SELL0.999$9.99
09-18 18:37Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or below on September 20?SELL0.999$9.99
09-18 18:37Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on September 20?SELL0.999$9.99
09-18 18:37Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on September 20?SELL0.999$9.99
09-18 16:12Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 19?SELL0.999$9.99
09-18 16:12Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.999$9.99
09-18 16:12Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C or higher on September 19?SELL0.999$9.99
09-18 16:12Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 19?SELL0.999$99.90
09-18 16:12Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on September 19?SELL0.999$99.90