PolyBot

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Traders

0xde691504c44bc0e65240ba646b4fc4eb96ab686d

0xde691504c44bc0e65240ba646b4fc4eb96ab686d

Realised P&L
$-29.68
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$113.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.5000.968$85.14+$41.14
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · Yes0.2200.380$13.30+$5.60
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No0.9740.968$7.74−$0.05
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9640.981$4.90+$0.08
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2100.155$1.40−$0.49
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.2000.087$0.70−$0.90
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$4.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 06:54Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.12$1.44
07-05 23:47Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.727$3.63
07-05 16:07Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.21$1.89
07-05 13:42Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.13$2.08
07-05 13:39China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.978$4.89
07-05 13:32Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.974$7.79
07-05 13:02Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.964$9.64
07-05 12:18Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$4.68
07-05 12:17Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.734$3.67
07-04 15:14Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.046$1.06
07-04 12:41Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.85$8.50
06-22 01:10Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$4.20
05-18 16:14Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.78$6.24
05-18 16:11Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$1.62
05-18 16:08Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.2$1.60