fator
0xde67f568249ededcc2a5d6df300513d69687bab9
- Realised P&L
- $14.4k
- Volume
- $965.9k
- Markets traded
- 402
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded402
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.939 | $7.1k | +$215.84 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · Celtics | 0.280 | 0.225 | $2.1k | −$519.58 |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In · FURIA Esports | 0.196 | 0.285 | $190.93 | +$59.75 |
| Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.049 | $52.80 | +$11.37 |
| Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) · Cloud9 | 0.400 | 0.001 | $3.25 | −$2.6k |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.89 | −$745.87 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) · PARIVISION | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$353.40 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic · Amanda Anisimova | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$576.43 |
| Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) · Top Esports | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.59 |
| LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B · LYON | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.84 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) · MOUZ | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.749Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$4.5kat 0.705Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$3.8kat 0.759Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$3.6kat 0.490LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner
- +$3.2kat 0.750Games Total: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 20:50 | Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $195.78 |
| 10-16 07:10 | Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.57 | $27.04 |
| 09-16 13:24 | Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.39 | $234.22 |
| 09-14 10:53 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | BUY | 0.2 | $83.60 |
| 09-06 08:56 | Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $717.83 |
| 08-27 08:48 | Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $2.7k |
| 08-27 08:42 | Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5) | BUY | 0.68 | $349.59 |
| 08-23 08:40 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $2.1k |
| 08-20 05:21 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.74 | $4.2k |
| 08-19 11:08 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Neither team to score first? | SELL | 0.05 | $31.21 |
| 08-19 05:42 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.32 |
| 07-26 09:52 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $315.36 |
| 07-21 23:01 | Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.021 | $7.22 |
| 07-21 23:00 | Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.021 | $12.47 |
| 07-21 23:00 | Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.021 | $27.74 |