cowniu
0xde6344bc1ae7fa6be64ab7a495b1b81dabf9a703
- Realised P&L
- $-194.35
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $84.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.82at 0.248Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 7?
- +$76.76at 0.637Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$27.99at 0.841Will Colton Moore win the GA-14 special election?
- +$24.98at 0.907Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?
- +$24.00at 0.840Will Solana reach $210 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-20 21:07 | Will Maya Cloetens (BEL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.65 |
| 02-16 02:27 | Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.36 |
| 02-15 03:13 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 17? | BUY | 0.037 | $5.97 |
| 02-14 18:33 | Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? | BUY | 0.043 | $11.73 |
| 02-14 15:01 | Will The Plague win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards? | BUY | 0.024 | $4.39 |
| 02-10 12:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 12? | BUY | 0.036 | $9.62 |
| 02-10 04:09 | Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $245? | BUY | 0.029 | $7.45 |
| 02-08 17:35 | Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 10? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.14 |
| 01-28 05:36 | Will Apple (AAPL) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30? | BUY | 0.029 | $3.03 |
| 01-27 17:19 | South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Auburn Tigers (W) | BUY | 0.038 | $7.59 |
| 01-27 17:17 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be greater than 2,400,000? | BUY | 0.064 | $6.85 |
| 01-26 21:09 | South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Auburn Tigers (W) | BUY | 0.037 | $5.02 |
| 01-26 04:24 | Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Murray State Racers (W) | BUY | 0.046 | $8.21 |
| 01-20 10:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25? | BUY | 0.093 | $12.70 |
| 01-20 10:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 23? | BUY | 0.105 | $15.64 |